New report reveals Avalanche may have just dodged a massive bullet by moving Mikko Rantanen
Photo credit: Jeff Vinnick / Denver Post
The Avalanche faced a lot of backlash when trading superstar Mikko Rantanen last year at the NHL trade deadline, but their move seems to make a lot of sense when we look at his contract and the current salary cap situation.
When analyzing the contract and the Finn's actual production value, there is a lot be admired by the Avs salary cap management.
Rantanen trade may prove more beneficial to the Avs than originally expected.
Nestor Quixtan of Mile High Stick made some shocking revelations when he reported that former Avs star Rantanen has a negative surplus value of $4.2 million and the deal has not even taken full effect yet.
"That projection is underscored by the contract's positive value probability of 43.8%. In other words, Rantanen's value has less than a 50/50 chance of turning out successful. Part of that situation has to do with questions about Rantanen sustaining his level of production over the next eight seasons. He may be a solid player in the first half of the deal. But in the latter half, it seems there's little expectation that Rantanen will earn his money's worth." -Quixtan
Now when we look at Martin Necas the player the Avs received in the Rantanen trade his contract value shows quite the opposite.
"Martin Necas, the player for whom Rantanen was traded for, has a better outlook for this upcoming season. The final year of Necas' contract yields a projected $1.7 million positive surplus value, with an 86% positive value probability." -Quixtan
Moreover Necas is entering a contract year, we should see the Czech forward even raise his surplus value as he will be motivated by a big pay day. Not to mention he will have a full season with a healthy Gabriel Landeskog, and Nathan MacKinnon in his prime.
Only time will tell if the Avs made a huge blunder or a genius move when trading Rantanen. But if we look at the deal in real time, it seems the Avalanche were not such losers on the deal that everyone thought they were
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